The Road towards a Resilient Base Petrochemical Industry in Indonesia: A Transformative Scenario Planning Approach

Petrochemical industry is a strategic for nation because it has big impact on society at large. derivative products are an inseparable part of our modern life. With the development technology, humans can synthesize innumerable combinations petrochemical molecular structures to obtain materials with certain properties suitable final be made, from clothing, packaging, pharmaceutical, households, etc. All these mostly produced based six building blocks petrochemical, which ethylene, propylene, butylene, benzene, toluene, and xylene. They, collectively, called base petrochemical. However, chemical sector its derivatives contributed Indonesian Current Account Deficit. In 2019, The Central Bureau Statistics reported that imports chemicals goods derived reached USD 21.51 billion. Meanwhile, export activity this was only 12.65 Thus, Government Indonesia through Ministry Industry (MoI) pays special attention as stipulated in National Industrial Development Master Plan (Rencana Induk Pengembangan Industri Nasional – RIPIN). RIPIN 2015, spanned between years 2015 2035, guideline government players planning developing national industry. Considering importance industry, research conducted find plausible scenarios Indonesia. time horizon year 2035 line document. obtaining possible scenarios, literature review carried out followed by interviews several relevant competent sources. This four namely “The Ruptured SBR”, Abandoned ABS”, Aromatic Painkillers”, Flying Polyester”. approach employed Transformative Scenario Planning (TSP) according Adam Kahane’s work. does not focus one particular entity or institution, but basic whole consists various stakeholders different interests. So implementing results research, important realize all parties need contribute achieve desired future.